World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 9, 2024 at 1am UK

Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad

Aruba
0 - 2
Curacao

Maria (81'), Maria (81'), Lewis (90+4'), Lewis (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacuna (58', 58'), Severina (90+6', 90+6')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Aruba and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-0 Aruba
Saturday, March 23 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Curacao

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Curacao 4-1 Barbados
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aruba	Draw	Curacao
81.23% ( 0.03)	11.96% ( 0.03)	6.81% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72% (

-0.48)

28% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.26% (

-0.6)

48.74% (

0.61)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.8% (

-0.09)

5.2% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.43% (

-0.26)

20.57% (

0.26)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.95% (

-0.56)

46.05% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.24% (

-0.44)

81.76% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Aruba 81.22%

Curacao 6.81%

Draw 11.96%

Aruba	Draw	Curacao
2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 81.22%	1-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.96%	1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 6.81%