CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Nov 16, 2023 at 11pm UK

US Virgin Islands
1 - 4
Aruba

Farrell (47', 47')
Blaschka (66'), Blaschka (66'), Mills (78'), Mills (78')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Dania (23', 23'), Ostiana (40', 40', 52', 52'), Maria (79' pen., 79' pen.)
Richard (50'), Richard (50')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Virgin Islands

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cayman Islands 2-1 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Aruba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Aruba 3-1 US Virgin Islands
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
US Virgin Islands	Draw	Aruba
26.55% ( -1.19)	23.3% ( -0.65)	50.15% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

2.05)

42.07% (

-2.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53% (

2.03)

64.47% (

-2.03)

US Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.19)

29.12% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

0.24)

65.05% (

-0.24)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

1.48)

16.91% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04% (

2.57)

46.96% (

-2.57)

Score Analysis

US Virgin Islands 26.55%

Aruba 50.15%

Draw 23.29%

US Virgin Islands	Draw	Aruba
2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.55%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.47) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.17) Other @ 4.1% Total : 50.15%