Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Cayman Islands win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.