Cayman Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 11, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Aruba national football team

Cayman Islands
1 - 2
Aruba

Lentink (6' og.)
Nunez (85'), Bonilla (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ostiana (2'), Baly (79')
Baly (15'), Jacobs (90')
Baly (85')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Cayman Islands and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cayman Islands

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 2-2 Cayman Islands
Friday, September 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

All competitions
Last Game: Saint Kitts 2-0 Aruba
Monday, March 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cayman Islands win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
Cayman IslandsDrawAruba
33.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.01%40.1%
Both teams to score 53.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48%50.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56%72.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Cayman Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Cayman Islands 33.88%
    Aruba 40.1%
    Draw 26.01%
Cayman IslandsDrawAruba
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Cayman Islands vs Aruba

Cayman Islands
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Aruba
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2021 11pm
First Round
Cayman Islands
1-3
Aruba
Ebanks (30' pen.)
Holness (34'), Campbell (86')
John (40', 75'), Groothusen (45+2')
Pereira (52')
rhs 2.0


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