CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

St Lucia
1 - 2
Sint Maarten

Thomas (12')
Frederick (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Amatkarijo (38'), Lake (56')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Sint Maarten

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-2 Guadeloupe
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	Sint Maarten
70.43% ( -0.19)	16.53% ( 0.04)	13.04% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.17% (

0.18)

30.83% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.82% (

0.21)

52.18% (

-0.22)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.18% (

7.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.26% (

0.02)

27.74% (

-0.02)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94% (

0.34)

36.06% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.16% (

0.35)

72.84% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 70.43%

Sint Maarten 13.04%

Draw 16.53%

Saint Lucia	Draw	Sint Maarten
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 70.43%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.53%	1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.04%