CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 19, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Terell Thomas 12' goal
  • Kurt Frederick 81' yellowcard
  • goal Chovanie Amatkarijo 38'
  • goal Gerwin Lake 56'

Saint Lucia vs Sint Maarten - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 11.00pm
Saint Kitts 0 - 0 St Lucia

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 11.00pm
Sint Maarten 0 - 2 Guadeloupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Saint Lucia 70.43% (-0.20)
Draw 16.53% (+0.05)
Sint Maarten 13.04% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.94% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.17% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 30.83% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 47.82% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 52.18% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 28.76% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 71.23% (-0.20)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5 92.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 72.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.74% (-0.02)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 36.06% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 27.16% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 72.84% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Saint Lucia 70.43%
Draw 16.53%
Sint Maarten 13.04%
Saint Lucia
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 7.94%
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.05% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 70.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.53%
Sint Maarten
1-2 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.04%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 7, 2023 11.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Football federation training ground
  • Ties Kerssies 15' yellowcard
  • Ties Kerssies 15' yellowcard
  • Chovanie Amatkarijo 51' goal
  • Chovanie Amatkarijo 51' goal
  • goal Dominic Poleon 45'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 45'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 48'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 48'
  • goal Reeco Hackett 57'
  • goal Reeco Hackett 57'
  • goal Ridel Stanislas 75'
  • goal Ridel Stanislas 75'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 89'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 89'