MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 16:27:16| >> :600:528226:528226:
Saint Lucia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
Aruba national football team

St Lucia
2 - 2
Aruba

Stanislas (45+2'), Pearson (67')
Doxilly (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bennett (21'), Marselia (43' pen.)
Lewis (90+3')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Lucia and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aruba win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawAruba
38.49% (0.061 0.06) 26.36% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 35.15% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)51.8% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.189 -0.19)73.56% (0.194 0.19)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)26.27% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)61.39% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.17 -0.17)28.22% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.217 -0.22)63.92% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 38.49%
    Aruba 35.15%
    Draw 26.35%
Saint LuciaDrawAruba
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.49%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: St Lucia vs Aruba

Saint Lucia
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Aruba
20.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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