Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
3 - 0
Motor Lublin

Grosicki (43', 52'), Koulouris (76')
Koutris (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matthys (37'), van Hoeven (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-0 Szczecin
Saturday, May 10 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast Gliwice
Friday, May 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawMotor Lublin
47.23% (-0.012 -0.01)23.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)28.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)63.45% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 47.23%
    Motor Lublin 28.92%
    Draw 23.84%
Pogon SzczecinDrawMotor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.92%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Motor Lublin
4-2
Szczecin
Krol (8', 38'), Mraz (28'), Jacques Ndiaye (75')
Samper (31'), Serge Simon (41'), Stolarski (48')
Grosicki (37'), Bichakhchyan (63')
Borges (23'), Grosicki (65')