Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 10, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
2 - 0
Szczecin

Burch (2'), Perotti (90+3')
Agouzoul (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koulouris (18')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, May 4 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 4-5 Szczecin
Friday, April 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawPogon Szczecin
29.2% (0.123 0.12)23.81% (0.055 0.05)46.99% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.183 -0.18)42.54% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.185 -0.18)64.95% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.48% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)62.97% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)18.3% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.245 -0.24)49.38% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 29.2%
    Pogon Szczecin 46.99%
    Draw 23.8%
Radomiak RadomDrawPogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 46.99%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Szczecin
0-1
Radomiak Radom

Zech (58'), Kurzawa (70')
Henrique (37')
Henrique (60')
Feb 16, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Radomiak Radom
0-4
Szczecin

Rossi (66')
Kobylak (31')
Ulvestad (27', 43'), Grosicki (35' pen.), Paryzek (90+1')
Ulvestad (3'), Bichakhchyan (45+1')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Szczecin
0-2
Radomiak Radom

Gustafsson (40')
Semedo (20'), Cichocki (27')
Semedo (39'), Raphael (45'), Henrique (69')