Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
1 - 4
Piast Gliwice

Augustin (3')
Jacques Ndiaye (24'), Najemski (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Huk (28', 31' pen.), Chrapek (59'), Rosolek (68')
Pitan (90')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia
Saturday, April 26 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, May 4 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawPiast Gliwice
37.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)25.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.28%
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 37.39%
    Piast Gliwice 36.94%
    Draw 25.67%
Motor LublinDrawPiast Gliwice
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.94%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 15
Piast Gliwice
2-3
Motor Lublin
Szczepanski (37'), Piasecki (70')
Mraz (7', 38', 75')
Rosa (90+3')