Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.