NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 29, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Milltown

Warrenpoint
3 - 1
Carrick

O'Sullivan (14'), Swan (41', 67')
Dillon (37'), Wallace (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Loughran (21' pen.)
McMullan (77')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Warrenpoint Town and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrenpoint Town win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrenpoint Town would win this match.

Result
Warrenpoint TownDrawCarrick Rangers
41.05%24.86%34.09%
Both teams to score 57.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63%45.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29%67.71%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58%55.42%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23%25.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28%60.72%
Score Analysis
    Warrenpoint Town 41.05%
    Carrick Rangers 34.09%
    Draw 24.85%
Warrenpoint TownDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.09%

rhs 2.0


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