NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 1
Carrick

Jarvis (75', 75')
Loughran (52'), Corbally (56'), Kennedy (81'), Kennedy (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cushley (90+7', 90+7')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 4-1 Portadown
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
56.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)23.76% (0.023 0.02)20.02% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)50.81% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.7% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)17.91% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)48.7% (0.064 0.06)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53%76.47%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 56.2%
    Carrick Rangers 20.02%
    Draw 23.76%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
0-0
Ballymena
Buchanan-Rolleston (30'), Boyle (35'), McGuckin (45'), Cherry (68'), (89'), (90')
(27'), (32'), (90')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Ballymena
1-2
Carrick
McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
1-4
Ballymena
Gordon (57')
Forsythe (26'), Glendinning (35'), Gordon (35'), Macuilaitis (56'), Clucas (69'), Stewart (75'), Cherry (77')
Jarvis (2'), Lafferty (15'), Kennedy (90+1' pen., 90+6')
Jarvis (4'), Carson (30'), McMurray (35'), Scott (35'), Kennedy (37')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Tilney (66'), Purkis (77')
Cushley (14'), Crowe (55'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Stewart (90+4')
Gawne (3'), McMurray (19'), Nelson (80')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Ballymena
0-2
Carrick

Robinson (33')
Teelan (29'), Macuilaitis (88')
Watson (16'), Stewart (22')
rhs 2.0


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