NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Showgrounds

Ballymena
5 - 2
Loughgall

Edogun (14', 66'), O'Donnell (42'), Corbally (45+1'), Kennedy (68')
Carson (38')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mahon (55'), McLaughlin (75')
(90+1'), (90+2'), (90+2')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions

Last Game: Loughgall 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Loughgall

All competitions

Last Game: Loughgall 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Loughgall
43.09% ( -0.68)	26.46% ( 0.49)	30.45% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-1.88)

53.32% (

1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-1.61)

74.87% (

1.62)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

-1.16)

24.54% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

-1.66)

59.02% (

1.66)

Loughgall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

-0.82)

32.09% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

-0.95)

68.56% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 43.09%

Loughgall 30.45%

Draw 26.45%

Ballymena United	Draw	Loughgall
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.45%

Head to Head

Mar 22, 2025 3pm

Gameweek 33

Loughgall

2-1

Ballymena

Magee (17'), Gibson (73')
Towe (66')

Lafferty (32')
McCallion (28'), Hood (72'), (84'), O'Neill (85')

Dec 21, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 22

Loughgall

2-3

Ballymena

Towe (14'), McCallion (62' og.)
McCloskey (33'), Norton (68'), Ferris (90')

Scott (15'), McCurry (45+1'), Kennedy (50')
Jarvis (32'), Kennedy (33'), Carson (43'), Scott (80'), Scott (88'), Rocks (90')
Carson (58'), Kennedy (82')

Oct 5, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 11

Ballymena

4-1

Loughgall

Kennedy (25' pen.), Nelson (27'), Scott (33'), Moore (58')
Moore (79'), Herron (89'), Lafferty (89')

Boyd (31')
McCloskey (30'), Balde (65'), Francis (70'), Kelly (79'), McAleer (87'), Boyd (89')

Apr 6, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 1

Loughgall

2-3

Ballymena