NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Lakeview Park
Larne

Loughgall
1 - 4
Larne

McLaughlin (30')
Norton (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Want (14'), O'Connor (18'), O'Neill (50'), Ryan (87')
Randall (52'), Gallagher (65')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Loughgall
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawLarne
14.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.35% (0.010000000000002 0.01)62.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)52.92% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.029 -0.03)74.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.012 -0.01)47.4% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)82.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)16.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.96% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 14.9%
    Larne 62.74%
    Draw 22.34%
LoughgallDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.91%
2-0 @ 2.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.9%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 12.7%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 7.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 62.74%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
2-0
Loughgall
Magee (14'), Ryan (81')
Thomson (45+3'), Thomson (45+1'), Cosgrove (68'), Gallagher (70')

Towe (23')
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Larne
2-0
Loughgall
Ryan (20', 66')
Bolger (54'), Bonis (86')

Hoey (16'), Norton (56'), Rea (82')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Larne
1-0
Loughgall
Thomson (18')
Farquhar (15')

Murdock (37')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Loughgall
1-0
Larne
Magee (89')
Boyd (50'), Kelly (65')

Ferguson (16'), Thomson (27'), Farquhar (39'), Graham (53'), O'Neill (57'), Ives (75'), Bonis (81'), Bonis (82')
Ferguson (69')