Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 1
Dungannon


Bolger (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitchell (45+2')
Donnelly (68'), Knowles (90+4'), Wallace (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Glenavon
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
48.32% (-0.058 -0.06)25.49% (0.012 0.01)26.2% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.51% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)21.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (0.033999999999992 0.03)34.52% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (0.038 0.04)71.24% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Larne 48.31%
    Dungannon Swifts 26.2%
    Draw 25.49%
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.2%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Dungannon
0-1
Larne

Alves (71'), McGinty (85')
Randall (51')
Ryan (85'), Ferguson (90+1')
Oct 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Larne
0-3
Dungannon

Graham (72')
Knowles (16'), McGovern (54'), Glenny (84')
Knowles (71')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dungannon
0-2
Larne

Moore (62'), Devine (73')
Millar (42'), Scott (45+1' og.)
Gallagher (27')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Dungannon
0-0
Larne
McGee (23'), Glenny (55'), Knowles (65'), Whiteside (76'), Whiteside (76')
McGee (65')
Bolger (45+2'), Farquhar (55')
Aug 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
4-4
Dungannon
Cosgrove (29'), Sloan (51'), Ryan (77'), Bonis (80')
Want (90+1')
Moore (35'), Gallagher (84'), Galvin (89'), Whiteside (90+5')