Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Larne had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Linfield in this match.