Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.