NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Larne

Ballymena
1 - 2
Larne

McMullan (8')
(45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Connor (31'), O'Neill (75')
O'Donnell (41'), (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Ballymena
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Larne
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
24.06% (-2.421 -2.42)26.96% (-0.251 -0.25)48.98% (2.678 2.68)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-1.329 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-0.678 -0.68)58.75% (0.682 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.528 -0.53)79.27% (0.535 0.53)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-2.547 -2.55)40.28% (2.55 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-2.399 -2.4)76.91% (2.404 2.4)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.97399999999999 0.97)24.1% (-0.97 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (1.365 1.37)58.39% (-1.36 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 24.06%
    Larne 48.98%
    Draw 26.96%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.48 -0.48)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 13.81% (0.73 0.73)
0-2 @ 9.83% (0.775 0.78)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 48.98%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
2-1
Ballymena
Ryan (6'), Sloan (45+1')
(73')
Scott (17')
(42'), (85')
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
0-1
Ballymena

Seary (84')
Kennedy (85')
Rocks (50'), Scott (70'), Devine (86')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Ballymena
0-1
Larne

Boyle (68'), Nelson (80')
Bonis (8')
A (49'), Ives (67'), Westendorf (74')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Ballymena
0-0
Larne
Place (58'), Whiteside (83'), O'Neill (89'), Nelson (90+2')
A (59'), Bonis (90+2')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Larne
3-0
Ballymena
Bonis (48'), Ryan (82'), Millar (90+5')
Bonis (67')

Nelson (44'), McGuigan (67'), Place (83')