NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
0 - 3
Ballymena


Dillon (11'), McGovern (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McEleney (15'), McMullan (52'), Edogun (82')
Corbally (24'), Hood (65'), Jarvis (72')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
61.38% (0.337 0.34)21.75% (-0.159 -0.16)16.88% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (0.369 0.37)47.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (0.342 0.34)69.36% (-0.342 -0.34)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (0.23100000000001 0.23)14.85% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (0.436 0.44)43.16% (-0.434 -0.43)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 61.37%
    Ballymena United 16.88%
    Draw 21.74%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.88%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ballymena
0-1
Dungannon

Gawne (29'), O'Neill (45+1'), Devine (88')
Mitchell (84' pen.)
Dunne (29'), Scott (39')
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dungannon
1-0
Ballymena
Dillon (19')
Owens (37'), McGinty (38'), Seaton (81')

Carson (14'), Loughran (19')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dungannon
3-0
Ballymena
Glenny (12'), Mitchell (52'), Curry (87')
Dunne (14')

McAuley (88'), Place (89')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ballymena
2-4
Dungannon
Place (27'), Taylor (54')
McMurray (62')
Curry (14'), Gallagher (40'), Glenny (45+1', 88')
Scott (31'), McGinty (52'), Glenny (90')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Ballymena
1-1
Dungannon
Westendorf (25')
O'Neill (23'), Boyle (59')
Tennant (51' og.)
Scott (31'), Knowles (81')