Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.