NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Crowe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Graham (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Loughgall
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-4 Larne
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
23.27% (0.013000000000002 0.01)26.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.39% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)79.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.29% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 23.27%
    Larne 49.74%
    Draw 26.97%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.16%
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 14.18%
0-2 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.74%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
rhs 2.0


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