NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park
Larne

Loughgall
0 - 1
Larne


Francis (17'), Norton (68'), Balde (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Neill (7')
Gallagher (54'), Nolan (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 0-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11%) and 0-1 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawLarne
7.94% (0.052 0.05)15.11% (0.074 0.07)76.94% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 43.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (-0.178 -0.18)40% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (-0.186 -0.19)62.37% (0.186 0.19)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)86% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)8.62% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.25% (-0.176 -0.18)29.74% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 7.94%
    Larne 76.93%
    Draw 15.11%
LoughgallDrawLarne
1-0 @ 2.93% (0.025 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.94%
1-1 @ 7.18% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 15.11%
0-2 @ 13.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.41% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 2.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 76.93%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Loughgall
1-4
Larne
McLaughlin (30')
Norton (55')
Want (14'), O'Connor (18'), O'Neill (50'), Ryan (87')
Randall (52'), Gallagher (65')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
2-0
Loughgall
Magee (14'), Ryan (81')
Thomson (45+3'), Thomson (45+1'), Cosgrove (68'), Gallagher (70')

Towe (23')
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Larne
2-0
Loughgall
Ryan (20', 66')
Bolger (54'), Bonis (86')

Hoey (16'), Norton (56'), Rea (82')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Larne
1-0
Loughgall
Thomson (18')
Farquhar (15')

Murdock (37')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Loughgall
1-0
Larne
Magee (89')
Boyd (50'), Kelly (65')

Ferguson (16'), Thomson (27'), Farquhar (39'), Graham (53'), O'Neill (57'), Ives (75'), Bonis (81'), Bonis (82')
Ferguson (69')
rhs 2.0


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