NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 0
Carrick

Gordon (45+1'), Curran (56'), Parsons (87')
Pepper (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 2-2 Cliftonville
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Glentoran
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
59.7% (-0.71 -0.71)22.55% (0.316 0.32)17.75% (0.395 0.4)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (-0.679 -0.68)49.07% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.618 -0.62)71.15% (0.619 0.62)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)16.06% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.868 -0.87)45.43% (0.869 0.87)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.36% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (0.066000000000003 0.07)77.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 59.68%
    Carrick Rangers 17.75%
    Draw 22.55%
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 11.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.75%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cliftonville
3-0
Carrick
Hale (29'), Parsons (62'), McGuinness (90+1')

Cherry (62')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Carrick
2-0
Cliftonville
Purkis (24'), Clucas (62')
Forsythe (44'), Heatley (71'), Purkis (87')

Gormley (64'), Addis (85')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Carrick
0-1
Cliftonville

Watson (80')
Casey (90+4')
Hale (58')
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Carrick
0-3
Cliftonville

Mitchell (23'), Glendinning (71')
Hale (17'), Hale (68'), Mallon (83')
Casey (64'), Hale (73'), Ashford (88')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
4-0
Carrick
Wilson (6', 42'), Doherty (23' pen.), Hale (64')
Pepper (88')

Cushley (9'), Crowe (60'), McGuckin (90+1')