Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.