NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 8, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 0
Carrick

Ukek (81')
Altintop (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cherry (31'), Macuilaitis (62'), Clucas (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portadown in this match.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
46.42% (0.775 0.77)25.88% (-0.19 -0.19)27.69% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (0.427 0.43)52.38% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.366 0.37)74.06% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (0.541 0.54)22.54% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (0.799 0.8)56.12% (-0.799 -0.8)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)33.66% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.251 -0.25)70.31% (0.252 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 46.42%
    Carrick Rangers 27.69%
    Draw 25.88%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.69%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Portadown
1-1
Carrick
McCartan (90+4')
Heatley (8'), Altintop (42'), McCarey (45+1'), Altintop (76')
McCartan (9' og.)
Cherry (17'), Allen (45'), Heatley (47'), Cherry (68'), Allen (85')
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
0-1
Portadown
Fyfe (70')
Thompson (44'), Mackinnon (81'), McCartan (88'), Mayse (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Portadown
3-1
Carrick
Friel (14', 86'), Archer (32')
Tilney (59')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Portadown
1-3
Carrick
Russell (24')
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')
rhs 2.0


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