Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.