NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 3
Cliftonville

Gibson (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Conlan (28'), McWoods (84'), Gormley (88')
(17')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCliftonville
26.26% (-0.464 -0.46)27.47% (0.385 0.39)46.27% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 45.82% (-1.396 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-1.623 -1.62)59.06% (1.616 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (-1.274 -1.27)79.52% (1.267 1.27)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-1.29 -1.29)38.46% (1.284 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-1.254 -1.25)75.21% (1.248 1.25)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.696 -0.7)25.53% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (-0.95500000000001 -0.96)60.39% (0.949 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 26.26%
    Cliftonville 46.26%
    Draw 27.47%
Carrick RangersDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.245 0.25)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.585 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.4% (0.54 0.54)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 46.26%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 33
Cliftonville
3-0
Carrick
Gordon (45+1'), Curran (56'), Parsons (87')
Pepper (44')
Feb 12, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cliftonville
3-0
Carrick
Hale (29'), Parsons (62'), McGuinness (90+1')

Cherry (62')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Carrick
2-0
Cliftonville
Purkis (24'), Clucas (62')
Forsythe (44'), Heatley (71'), Purkis (87')

Gormley (64'), Addis (85')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Carrick
0-1
Cliftonville

Watson (80')
Casey (90+4')
Hale (58')
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Carrick
0-3
Cliftonville

Mitchell (23'), Glendinning (71')
Hale (17'), Hale (68'), Mallon (83')
Casey (64'), Hale (73'), Ashford (88')
rhs 2.0


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