Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.