UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Belgium
3 - 1
Israel

De Bruyne (21', 52' pen.), Tielemans (48')
De Bruyne (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Castagne (36' og.)
Abu Fani (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	3	1	4
2	Belgium	3	1	4
3	Slovakia	3	0	4
4	Ukraine	3	-2	4

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Israel
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Israel
60.39% ( -0.87)	22.24% ( 0.3)	17.38% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.63% (

-0.3)

48.38% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

-0.27)

70.52% (

0.27)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.41% (

-0.39)

15.59% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.44% (

-0.72)

44.56% (

0.72)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.6% (

0.53)

41.4% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.09% (

0.46)

77.91% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Belgium 60.37%

Israel 17.38%

Draw 22.23%

Belgium	Draw	Israel
1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.37%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.38%