Major League Soccer

Apr 6, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 0
St Louis City

Joveljic (71', 71', 88', 88')
Bartlett (39'), Bartlett (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wallem (28'), Wallem (28'), Ostrak (78'), Ostrak (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Sporting Kansas City and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-1 Austin
Sunday, March 30 at 7.15pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
58.83% ( 0.16)	20.67% ( -0.14)	20.49% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.48% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.47% (

0.67)

36.53% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

0.73)

58.68% (

-0.72)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.8% (

0.26)

12.2% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.13% (

0.54)

37.87% (

-0.53)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.37)

31.12% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

0.44)

67.44% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 58.84%

St Louis City 20.49%

Draw 20.67%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 58.84%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.67%	1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 20.49%