Major League Soccer

Mar 16, 2025 at 12.15am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Salloi (68', 68'), Duggan (72' og., 72' og.), Joveljic (80', 80')
Leibold (64'), Leibold (64')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Dotson (15', 15'), Oluwaseyi (31', 31', 46', 46')
Oluwaseyi (6'), Oluwaseyi (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Minnesota United
49.01% ( 0.07)	23.66% ( -0.05)	27.34% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.35% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89% (

0.21)

43.11% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49% (

0.21)

65.51% (

-0.21)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

0.11)

17.73% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6% (

0.19)

48.4% (

-0.19)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.1)

29.08% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

0.12)

65% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 49.01%

Minnesota United 27.34%

Draw 23.65%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 49.01%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.34%