Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 12.15am
3
3
HT : 0 4
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Tim Leibold 64' yellowcard
  • Tim Leibold 64' yellowcard
  • Daniel Salloi 68' goal
  • Daniel Salloi 68' goal
  • Morris Duggan 72' goal
  • Morris Duggan 72' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 80' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 80' goal
  • yellowcard Tani Oluwaseyi 6'
  • yellowcard Tani Oluwaseyi 6'
  • goal Hassani Dotson 15'
  • goal Hassani Dotson 15'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 31'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 31'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 46'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 46'

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
DC United 2 - 1 Kansas
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljic

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 3.30am
Earthquakes 0 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tani Oluwaseyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Sporting Kansas City 49.01% (+0.08)
Draw 23.66% (-0.06)
Minnesota United 27.34% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.89% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 43.11% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 34.49% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 65.51% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 17.89% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 82.11% (-0.16)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 82.27% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 17.73% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 51.6% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 48.4% (-0.20)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 29.08% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 35% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 65% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sporting Kansas City 49.01%
Draw 23.65%
Minnesota United 27.34%
Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 49.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.65%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Jacob Davis 36' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 36' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 65'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Tapias 78'
  • yellowcard Miguel Tapias 78'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+4'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Devin Padelford 16' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 16' yellowcard
  • Carlos Harvey 25' yellowcard
  • Carlos Harvey 25' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 64' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 64' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 67' goal
  • Robin Lod 67' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 83' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 83' goal
  • Joseph Rosales 88' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 32'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 32'
  • goal Johnny Russell 86'
  • goal Johnny Russell 86'
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Michael Boxall 2' goal
  • Michael Boxall 2' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 25' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 25' goal
  • Devin Padelford 31' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 31' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 63' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 23'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 23'
  • goal Alan Pulido 37'
  • goal Alan Pulido 37'
Major League Soccer
Oct 22, 2023 2.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Johnny Russell 28' goal
  • Remi Walter 31' goal
  • Remi Walter 31' goal
  • Johnny Russell 78' goal
  • Jacob Davis 85' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 53'
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 66'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 68'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 68'
  • goal Michael Boxall 82'
  • goal Michael Boxall 82'
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • DJ Taylor 24' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 24' yellowcard
  • 79' goal
  • Jan Gregus 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 44'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 45'
  • goal Gadi Kinda 84'
  • goal Gadi Kinda 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gadi Kinda 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Gadi Kinda 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Dany Rosero 9' goal
  • Daniel Salloi 22' goal
  • Gadi Kinda 84' goal