Major League Soccer

Mar 30, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Kansas

Acosta (37', 37'), Chu (39', 39')
Moore (24'), Moore (24'), Ramiro (69'), Ramiro (69')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Salloi (32', 32')
Bartlett (25'), Bartlett (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
52.96% ( -0.31)	22.57% ( 0.06)	24.47% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.4% (

-0.06)

40.6% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.02% (

-0.06)

62.98% (

0.06)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62% (

-0.13)

15.38% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.82% (

-0.24)

44.18% (

0.24)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

0.16)

29.95% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

0.2)

66.05% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Dallas 52.96%

Sporting Kansas City 24.48%

Draw 22.56%

Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.48%