Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
52.96% (![]() | 22.57% (![]() | 24.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.62% (![]() | 15.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.82% (![]() | 44.18% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% (![]() | 29.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% (![]() | 66.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 10.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.27% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |