Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 58.25% ( | 21.83% ( | 19.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( | 42.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( | 65.15% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( | 14.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.71% ( | 42.29% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( | 35.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( | 72.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.92% |