Major League Soccer

May 31, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Geodis Park

Nashville
2 - 2
NY City

Surridge (27', 41')
Acosta (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wolf (54', 87')
O'Neill (40'), Tanasijevic (74'), Parks (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 29 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 0-3 Houston
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
53.38% ( -4)	23.4% ( 0.97)	23.21% ( 3.03)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

-0.6)

45.65% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

-0.58)

67.98% (

0.58)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-1.6)

17.05% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

-2.91)

47.21% (

2.91)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

2.55)

33.77% (

-2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

2.67)

70.43% (

-2.67)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 53.38%

New York City FC 23.21%

Draw 23.4%

Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.78) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.5) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.38%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.21%