Major League Soccer

Apr 13, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Geodis Park

Nashville
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Lovitz (30'), Surridge (90+1' pen.)
Williams (22'), Lovitz (26'), Brugman (47'), Tagseth (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marczuk (12')
Goncalves (50'), Glad (64'), Ojeda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Nashville SC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Nashville
Saturday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 5 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
50.68% ( -0.14)	22.94% ( 0.01)	26.38% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.05)

40.55% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.05)

62.93% (

-0.05)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

-0.03)

16.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

-0.06)

45.6% (

0.06)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

0.12)

28.45% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

0.15)

64.22% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 50.68%

Real Salt Lake 26.38%

Draw 22.94%

Nashville SC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.38%