Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 49.47% ( | 22.88% ( | 27.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( | 61.6% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( | 16.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( | 45.52% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( | 62.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.64% |