Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Miguel Almiron 20' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 43' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 78' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 82' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Lovitz 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Perez 90'+3'

Atlanta United vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
Orlando City 3 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 1.30am
Nashville 7 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 52.82% (-0.79)
Draw 22.96% (+0.49)
Nashville SC 24.22% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.64% (-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.36% (-1.96)
Under 2.5 42.63% (+1.95)
Over 3.5 34.96% (-1.98)
Under 3.5 65.04% (+1.97)
Over 4.5 18.23% (-1.50)
Under 4.5 81.76% (+1.50)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 83.84% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 16.15% (+0.96)
Over 1.5 54.4% (-1.79)
Under 1.5 45.6% (+1.78)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 68.74% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 31.26% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 32.39% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 67.61% (+0.97)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 52.83%
Draw 22.95%
Nashville SC 24.22%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.21% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.19)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.15)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 52.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.05% (+0.43)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.95%
Nashville SC
1-2 @ 6.22% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.87% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 3.41% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Derrick Williams 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 56' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 56'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Duncan Williams 40' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Guzan 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 44'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 56'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Fabrice Picault 36' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 56' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thiago Almada 72'
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • CJ Sapong 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 32' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 59' yellowcard
  • CJ Sapong 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 82' yellowcard
  • Ethan Zubak 83' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 27'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 34'
  • goal Dom Dwyer 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ezequiel Barco 37' yellowcard
  • Amar Sejdic 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 26'
  • goal Daniel Rios 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 75'
  • goal Randall Leal 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Randall Leal 90'+6'