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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Dallas

Atlanta
1 - 1
Dallas

Almiron (17' pen., 17' pen.)
Latte Lath (84'), Latte Lath (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Musa (60', 60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Dallas has a probability of 25.83% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.16%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
51.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.44% (-0.168 -0.17)25.83% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.769 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (0.947 0.95)38.67% (-0.942 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.991 0.99)60.97% (-0.989 -0.99)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.345 0.34)15.11% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (0.646 0.65)43.66% (-0.642 -0.64)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.61799999999999 0.62)27.87% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.781 0.78)63.47% (-0.77700000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 51.74%
    Dallas 25.83%
    Draw 22.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Dallas

Atlanta United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Dallas
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Atlanta
Arriola (4'), Kamungo (62')
Velasco (53'), Ibeagha (69')
Giakoumakis (44'), Lobzhanidze (58')
Sosa (7'), Giakoumakis (21')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2020 12am
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
1-0
Dallas
Apr 20, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 9
Atlanta
1-2
Dallas
Martinez (97' pen.)
Gonzalez Pirez (40'), Larentowicz (61')
Ferreira (6'), Acosta (84')
Hedges (59'), Barrios (63'), Gonzalez (74'), Hayes (96'), Acosta (97')
Jul 5, 2018 1am
Gameweek 21
Dallas
3-2
Atlanta
Ziegler (22'), Akindele (86', 88')
Lamah (14')
Martinez (41', 73')
Escobar (45')
Sep 10, 2017 8.30pm
Atlanta
3-0
Dallas
Gonzalez Pirez (14'), Martinez (46'), Garza (68')
Gonzalez Pirez (50')

Gruezo (2')