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Atlanta United
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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 12.15am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
3 - 0
Atlanta

Muriel (42' pen.), Freeman (51'), Pasalic (67')
Schlegel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slisz (79'), Fortune (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Atlanta United

Atlanta United have struggled to get going this season and are in for a tough 90 minutes against a well-drilled Orlando City side who are unbeaten in their last six outings. That said, we predict that Pareja's men will make the most of their home advantage and come away with the desired result this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
58.76% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 19.77% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (-0.192 -0.19)41.31% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.196 -0.2)63.7% (0.195 0.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.125 -0.13)13.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (-0.249 -0.25)41.04% (0.247 0.25)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)34.58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01)71.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 58.76%
    Atlanta United 19.77%
    Draw 21.47%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 8.30pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Orlando City
1-0
Atlanta
Enrique (39')

Williams (59')
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
Atlanta
2-0
Orlando City
Lobzhanidze (9'), Giakoumakis (70')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')

Jansson (49')
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Orlando City
Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Jansson (45+3'), Cartagena (45+2'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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