Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2025 at 12.15am UK

Spectrum Stadium

Orlando City
3 - 0
Atlanta

Muriel (42' pen., 42' pen.), Freeman (51', 51'), Pasalic (67', 67')
Schlegel (90+5'), Schlegel (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Slisz (79'), Slisz (79'), Fortune (90+1'), Fortune (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
58.76% ( -0.21)	21.47% ( 0.08)	19.77% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.69% (

-0.19)

41.31% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.29% (

-0.2)

63.7% (

0.2)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

-0.13)

13.75% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.96% (

-0.25)

41.04% (

0.25)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.01)

34.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

0.01)

71.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 58.76%

Atlanta United 19.77%

Draw 21.47%

Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 58.76%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.47%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.77%