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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
Chicago Fire

Nashville
7 - 2
Chicago Fire

Surridge (15' pen., 45+9' pen., 50', 57'), Palacios (22'), Williams (25', 31')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Zinckernagel (64'), Cuypers (71')
Tah D'Avilla (42'), Brady (45+7'), Zinckernagel (51'), Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 Chicago Fire

Nashville have done a much better job this season of bouncing back after a rough outing, and we expect them to have their share of scoring opportunities against a side that have conceded multiple goals four times in 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
55.15% (0.337 0.34) 22.21% (-0.038 -0.04) 22.64% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.94% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.175 -0.18)63.33% (0.173 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (0.097000000000001 0.1)43.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.355 -0.36)31.68% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.41 -0.41)68.09% (0.40799999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.15%
    Chicago Fire 22.64%
    Draw 22.2%
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.64%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
Chicago Fire
0-3
Nashville

Navarro (57')
Muyl (54'), Surridge (87'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Gaines (60'), Shaffelburg (62'), Godoy (69')
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-0
Chicago Fire
Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')

Omsberg (64')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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