Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Geodis Park

Nashville
7 - 2
Chicago Fire

Surridge (15' pen., 15' pen., 45+9' pen., 45+9' pen., 50', 50', 57', 57'), Palacios (22', 22'), Williams (25', 25', 31', 31')

FT(HT: 10-0)

Zinckernagel (64', 64'), Cuypers (71', 71')
Tah D'Avilla (42'), Tah D'Avilla (42'), Brady (45+7'), Brady (45+7'), Zinckernagel (51'), Zinckernagel (51'), Elliott (65'), Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
55.15% ( 0.34)	22.21% ( -0.04)	22.64% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

-0.17)

40.94% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

-0.18)

63.33% (

0.17)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

0.05)

14.77% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

0.1)

43.02% (

-0.1)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

-0.36)

31.68% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

-0.41)

68.09% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 55.15%

Chicago Fire 22.64%

Draw 22.2%

Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.64%