Major League Soccer
Nashville
Apr 27, 2025 1.30am
7
2
HT : 10 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Sam Surridge 15' goal
  • Sam Surridge 15' goal
  • Jeisson Palacios 22' goal
  • Jeisson Palacios 22' goal
  • Duncan Williams 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 31' goal
  • Duncan Williams 31' goal
  • Sam Surridge 50' goal
  • Sam Surridge 50' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+9' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+9' goal
  • Sam Surridge 57' goal
  • Sam Surridge 57' goal
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 42'
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 42'
  • yellowcard Philip Zinckernagel 51'
  • yellowcard Philip Zinckernagel 51'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 45'+7'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 64'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 64'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 65'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 71'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 71'

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
Seattle 3 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 55.15% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 22.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Chicago Fire 22.64% ▼ (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.23% ▼ (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.06% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 36.67% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 63.33% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.53% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 80.47% ▲ (+0.14)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 85.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 14.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 56.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 43.02% ▼ (-0.10)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 68.32% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 31.68% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 31.91% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 68.09% ▲ (+0.41)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 55.15%
Draw 22.2%
Chicago Fire 22.64%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 55.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.2%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.64%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
Nashville
  • Federico Navarro 57' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Muyl 54'
  • yellowcard Julian Gaines 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Shaffelburg 62'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 69'
  • goal Sam Surridge 87'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
Chicago Fire
  • Sam Surridge 19' goal
  • Sam Surridge 19' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 26' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 85' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 85' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 85' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 85' yellowcard
  • Joe Willis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joe Willis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wyatt Omsberg 64'
  • yellowcard Wyatt Omsberg 64'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
Nashville
  • Fabian Herbers 34' goal
  • Fabian Herbers 34' goal
Major League Soccer
Nashville
May 7, 2023 1.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
Chicago Fire
  • Duncan Williams 45'+3' goal
  • Duncan Williams 70' goal
  • Duncan Williams 90'+1' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
Sep 26, 2021 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nashville
  • Mauricio Pineda 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Nashville
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Duncan Williams 10' goal
  • Duncan Williams 13' goal
  • Duncan Williams 16' goal
  • CJ Sapong 39' goal
  • Brian Anunga 62' goal
  • redcard Johan Kappelhof 14'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 27'
  • goal Ignacio Aliseda 47'
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 49'

Form Data

Seattle 3 - 0 Nashville
Nashville 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Nashville
Nashville 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Nashville 3 - 0 Montreal
Philadelphia 1 - 3 Nashville
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Inter Miami
NY Red Bulls 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Montreal
Vancouver 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
Toronto 1 - 2 Chicago Fire