Major League Soccer

Apr 20, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Cincinnati

Cuypers (31'), Gutierrez (85' pen.)
Acosta (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Evander (9', 71'), Denkey (42')
Denkey (42'), Orellano (90+6'), Celentano (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: DC United 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
39.2% ( -0.16)	24.86% ( 0.13)	35.94% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

-0.6)

45.08% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

-0.58)

67.43% (

0.57)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

-0.35)

22.86% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

-0.52)

56.59% (

0.51)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.26)

24.58% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

-0.36)

59.07% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 39.2%

FC Cincinnati 35.94%

Draw 24.85%

Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 35.94%