Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Apr 20, 2025 1.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Soldier Field
Cincinnati
  • Hugo Cuypers 31' goal
  • Brian Gutierrez 85' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 88' yellowcard
  • goal Evander 9'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 42'
  • yellowcard Kevin Denkey 42'
  • goal Evander 71'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 90'+6'

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Inter Miami
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
DC United 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kevin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Chicago Fire 39.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 24.86% ▲ (+0.13)
FC Cincinnati 35.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.92% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 2.5 45.08% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 3.5 32.57% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 67.43% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 4.5 16.49% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 4.5 83.51% ▲ (+0.42)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 22.86% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 43.41% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 56.59% ▲ (+0.52)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 75.42% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 24.58% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 40.93% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 59.07% ▲ (+0.36)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 39.2%
Draw 24.85%
FC Cincinnati 35.94%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 35.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Pat Noonan 72' yellowcard
  • Pat Noonan 72' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 89' yellowcard
  • Pat Noonan 90'+6' redcard
  • Pat Noonan 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 35'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 35'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuypers 58'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuypers 58'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 70'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 89'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Mar 3, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Soldier Field
Cincinnati
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 45' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 45' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 66' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 66' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 39'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 39'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 43'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 43'
  • goal Miles Robinson 68'
  • goal Miles Robinson 68'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 81'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 81'
  • yellowcard Corey Baird 84'
  • yellowcard Corey Baird 84'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Toyota Park
Cincinnati
  • Kacper Przybylko 32' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 45' goal
  • Chris Mueller 46' goal
  • goal Junior Moreno 8'
  • goal Sergio Santos 84'
  • goal Junior Moreno 87'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Luciano Acosta 78' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 89' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 56'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 59'
  • goal Jhon Duran 75'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
May 15, 2022 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Jhon Duran 83' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 8'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 21'
  • goal Rafael Czichos 33' (OG)
  • goal Luciano Acosta 85'

Form Data

Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Inter Miami
NY Red Bulls 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Montreal
Vancouver 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
Toronto 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Dallas 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
DC United 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 New England
Nashville 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 2 Atlanta
Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Cincinnati
Tigres 3 - 1 Cincinnati