Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
BMO Field
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, April 20 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 20 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
8
Last Game: New England 2-0 NY City
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Toronto 2-1 New York City FC
The Reds' first victory of the year should give them plenty of confidence heading into this game, particularly given how disciplined they have been at the back in recent games. Nothing is going all that well for the Pigeons right now, and we believe their struggles will continue this weekend as no one has stepped up for them in recent matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
40.68% ( -1.65) | 25.36% ( 0.14) | 33.95% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
