Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Julian Fernandez 38' goal
  • Jonathan Shore 61' yellowcard
  • Alonso Martinez 68' goal
  • Keaton Parks 90' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Martins 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ilay Feingold 90'+5'

New York City FC vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
NY City 2 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
New England 0 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result

New York City FC 52.79% (-0.72)
Draw 22.99% (+0.24)
New England Revolution 24.22% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.53% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.22% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 42.78% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 34.82% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 65.18% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 18.13% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 81.87% (+0.40)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 83.78% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 16.22% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 54.28% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 45.72% (+0.81)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.33% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 32.3% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.69% (-0.14)

Score analysis

New York City FC 52.79%
Draw 22.98%
New England Revolution 24.22%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 52.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.98%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 6.23% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • <TBD> 29' goal
  • Bobby Wood 40' goal
  • Bobby Wood 40' goal
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 35'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 35'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 41'
  • yellowcard James Sands 45'+2'
  • yellowcard James Sands 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Frederick Kessler 13' yellowcard
  • Frederick Kessler 13' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 73' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 73' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 86' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 33'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 33'
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 41'
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 41'
  • goal Keaton Parks 82'
  • goal Keaton Parks 82'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Matt Freese 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Matt Freese 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Agustin Ojeda 57' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 57' goal
  • Keaton Parks 78' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 78' yellowcard
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+3' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 22'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 22'
  • yellowcard Ian Harkes 43'
  • yellowcard Ian Harkes 43'
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 77'
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 77'
Major League Soccer
Jun 3, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Carles Gil 70' goal
  • goal Talles Magno 80'
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonathan Bell 12' goal
  • Noel Buck 33' goal
  • Noel Buck 41' yellowcard
  • Thomas McNamara 65' goal