Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Birk Risa 36' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 89' goal
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 1'
  • goal Wil Trapp 29'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 43'
  • yellowcard Dayne St Clair 82'

New York City FC vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm
Atlanta 4 - 3 NY City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 12.30am
Minnesota Utd 2 - 0 Salt Lake
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tani Oluwaseyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 52.35% (-0.16)
Draw 22.77% (+0.01)
Minnesota United 24.87% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.84% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.16% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 36.44% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 63.55% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 19.36% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.64% (-0.09)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 84.21% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.79% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.07% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 44.93% (+0.03)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 70.07% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 29.93% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 33.96% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 66.04% (-0.22)

Score analysis

New York City FC 52.35%
Draw 22.77%
Minnesota United 24.87%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.77%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.87%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • Matias Pellegrini 39' yellowcard
  • Matias Pellegrini 39' yellowcard
  • goal Jan Gregus 53'
  • goal Jan Gregus 53'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 60'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 60'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 62'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 62'
  • goal Mender Garcia 90'+5'
  • goal Mender Garcia 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bakaye Dibassy 31' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 36' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 44' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Callens 29'
  • yellowcard Thiago Andrade 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Apr 13, 2019 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
  • Osvaldo Alonso 8' yellowcard
  • Osvaldo Alonso 13' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Sean Johnson 32' goal
  • Francisco Calvo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 16'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 18'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 64'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2018 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
  • Angelo Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 36' goal
  • Collen Warner 45' yellowcard
  • Francisco Calvo 54' yellowcard
  • Collen Warner 77' redcard
  • Bobby Shuttleworth 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 21'
  • goal Rodney Wallace 91'
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rodney Wallace 0' yellowcard
  • 68 0' yellowcard
  • Alexander Callens 38' goal
  • David Villa 45' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 52' goal
  • David Villa 63' goal
  • goal Christian Ramirez 9'
  • yellowcard Kevin Molino 23'
  • yellowcard Johan Venegas 45'