Major League Soccer

Apr 12, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Insigne (32')

Hlongwane (17'), Abel Diaz Beleno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Toronto
Monday, April 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Minnesota United
38.85% ( -0.1)	24.98% ( -0.02)	36.17% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

0.08)

45.62% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

0.08)

67.94% (

-0.08)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-0.01)

23.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-0.02)

57.2% (

0.02)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

0.1)

24.7% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

0.14)

59.24% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Toronto 38.85%

Minnesota United 36.17%

Draw 24.97%

Toronto	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.85%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.17%