Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'

Inter Miami vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 6.30pm
Toronto 0 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 67.32% (-0.02)
Draw 17.94% (+0.03)
Toronto 14.73% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.19% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 33.8% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 44.35% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 55.64% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 25.74% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 74.25% (+0.12)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 90.74% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 9.25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 68.71% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 31.28% (+0.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 35.74% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 27.48% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.51% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 67.32%
Draw 17.94%
Toronto 14.73%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.87% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.43% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.55% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 67.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.1% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.31% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.94%
Toronto
1-2 @ 4.17%
0-1 @ 3.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'
Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 48' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 69' goal
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 86'