Major League Soccer

Apr 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Martinez (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Makhanya (33'), Westfield (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
52.73% ( -0.59)	21.49% ( -0.01)	25.78% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 64.68% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.88% (

0.63)

34.12% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44% (

0.7)

56% (

-0.71)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

0.03)

13.2% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07% (

0.07)

39.93% (

-0.07)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

0.76)

25.48% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

1.03)

60.32% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.73%

Philadelphia Union 25.78%

Draw 21.49%

New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.78%