New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.