Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Toronto |
| 61.9% ( | 20.72% ( | 17.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( | 41.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( | 64.17% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( | 12.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% ( | 39.46% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( | 37.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.38% |