Major League Soccer

Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 0
NY City

Campana (43'), Ganago (48')
Polster (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gray (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 New England
Saturday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
42.87% ( 0.55)	24.93% ( -0.14)	32.19% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

0.48)

46.26% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

0.46)

68.55% (

-0.46)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.47)

21.59% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

0.71)

54.68% (

-0.71)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

-0.02)

27.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

-0.03)

62.82% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 42.87%

New York City FC 32.19%

Draw 24.93%

New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.87%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.19%