Major League Soccer
Nashville
May 11, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Charlotte FC
  • Jeisson Palacios 23' yellowcard
  • Jeisson Palacios 23' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 44' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 49' goal
  • Duncan Williams 49' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 54' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 54' goal
  • Patrick Yazbek 58' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 58' yellowcard
  • goal Liel Abada 48'
  • goal Liel Abada 48'
  • yellowcard Idan Gurno 72'
  • yellowcard Idan Gurno 72'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 79'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 79'

Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2025 7.45pm
Atlanta 1 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 4, 2025 12.30am
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Liel Abada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result

Nashville SC 58.86% ▲ (+0.91)
Draw 21.34% ▼ (-0.34)
Charlotte FC 19.8% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 3.5 36.92% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 63.08% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 4.5 19.72% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 4.5 80.28% ▼ (-0.58)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 86.48% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 0.5 13.52% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 1.5 59.42% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 1.5 40.58% ▼ (-1.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 65.79% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 34.21% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 29.1% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 70.9% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 58.86%
Draw 21.34%
Charlotte FC 19.8%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 58.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.34%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 19.8%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Apr 5, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
Nashville
  • Ashley Westwood 52' yellowcard
  • Kerwin Vargas 72' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Zaha 85' goal
  • Idan Gurno 90' goal
  • Nathan Byrne 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Najar 13'
  • goal Duncan Williams 32'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 68'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
May 12, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Nashville
  • Patrick Agyemang 52' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 52' goal
  • Kerwin Vargas 76' yellowcard
  • Kerwin Vargas 76' yellowcard
  • Tyger Smalls 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Tyger Smalls 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyler Boyd 22'
  • yellowcard Tyler Boyd 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 56'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 88'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 88'
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC
  • Sam Surridge 32' goal
  • Sam Surridge 32' goal
  • Alex Muyl 40' goal
  • Alex Muyl 40' goal
  • Jack Maher 54' yellowcard
  • Jack Maher 55' yellowcard
  • goal Brecht Dejaegere 45'+4'
  • goal Brecht Dejaegere 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Iuri Tavares 55'
  • yellowcard Iuri Tavares 55'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 57'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 57'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 81'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 81'
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC
  • Duncan Williams 26' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 26' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 56' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 56' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 73' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 73' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 90'+8' goal
  • Duncan Williams 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 27'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 27'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 89'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 89'
  • goal Scott Arfield 90'+3'
  • goal Scott Arfield 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
May 21, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Bank of America Stadium
Nashville
  • Brandt Bronico 6' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 6' goal
  • goal Duncan Williams 39'
  • goal Duncan Williams 39'
  • goal Duncan Williams 90'+3'
  • goal Duncan Williams 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Jul 10, 2022 12.00am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Nashville
  • Christian Fuchs 26' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 61' goal
  • Sergio Ruiz 89' goal
  • Andre Shinyashiki 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 21'
  • goal Duncan Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Randall Leal 71'
  • yellowcard Taylor Washington 90'+5'

Form Data

Atlanta 1 - 1 Nashville
Nashville 7 - 2 Chicago Fire
Seattle 3 - 0 Nashville
Nashville 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Nashville
Nashville 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 0 - 1 New England
Charlotte FC 3 - 0 San Diego
Montreal 0 - 1 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Nashville
Colorado 2 - 0 Charlotte FC