Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Geodis Park

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Williams (49', 49'), Shaffelburg (54', 54')
Palacios (23'), Palacios (23'), Lovitz (44'), Lovitz (44'), Yazbek (58'), Yazbek (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abada (48', 48')
Gurno (72'), Gurno (72'), Westwood (79'), Westwood (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Nashville
Saturday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Charlotte FC
58.86% ( 0.9)	21.34% ( -0.34)	19.8% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.3% (

0.74)

40.7% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.92% (

0.75)

63.08% (

-0.75)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

0.52)

13.52% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.42% (

1.03)

40.58% (

-1.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.14)

34.21% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-0.15)

70.9% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 58.86%

Charlotte FC 19.8%

Draw 21.34%

Nashville SC	Draw	Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.86%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.8%