Major League Soccer

Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 0
San Diego

Abada (11'), Agyemang (45' pen.), Privett (57')
Bronico (59'), Williamson (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reyes (32'), Hamady (67'), Lozano (90+2')
Reyes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Charlotte FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 San Diego
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	San Diego
56.26% ( -1.59)	21.75% ( 0.14)	21.98% ( 1.45)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36% (

1.27)

39.64% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01% (

1.31)

61.99% (

-1.31)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.07)

13.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.52% (

-0.14)

41.47% (

0.14)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

2.07)

31.53% (

-2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

2.32)

67.92% (

-2.32)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 56.26%

San Diego 21.98%

Draw 21.75%

Charlotte FC	Draw	San Diego
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.33% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.75%	1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.64% Total : 21.98%