Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 87.74%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 4.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.66%), while for a San Diego win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.