Major League Soccer

May 10, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Atlanta

Cuypers (14' pen.), Kouame (86')
Pineda (60'), Rogers (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rogers (80' og.)
Fortune (35'), Miranchuk (45+5'), Latte Lath (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Nashville
Saturday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
50.99% ( 8.2)	23.92% ( -1.47)	25.1% ( -6.72)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

2.3)

46.08% (

-2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

2.14)

68.38% (

-2.13)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

4.43)

18.1% (

-4.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96% (

7.07)

49.04% (

-7.07)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-3.74)

32.39% (

3.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-4.45)

68.9% (

4.45)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 50.99%

Atlanta United 25.1%

Draw 23.91%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 1.4) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 1.05) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 1.32) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.69) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.76) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.99%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.73) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( -1.46) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -1.15) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -1.32) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.74) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.7) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.1%